Business, Commerce and Management Studies Finance, Economics and Accounting

Scenario Planning for Financial Services Risk Training

SAQA US 242580 | NQF 5 | Credits 6 | Duration 3 Days
From $967 per delegate

Description

This course equips financial services professionals with the skills to apply scenario planning as a tool for identifying, analyzing, and explaining potential risks within a specified financial context. Participants will learn to construct plausible scenarios, assess their impact on financial operations, and communicate risk implications effectively to stakeholders.

Learning Outcomes

  • Apply scenario planning techniques to identify potential risks in a specified financial services context.
  • Analyze the impact of different scenarios on financial products, services, or operations.
  • Evaluate the likelihood and severity of risks identified through scenario analysis.
  • Design scenario-based risk reports to support decision-making.
  • Demonstrate the ability to communicate scenario planning outcomes to relevant stakeholders.
  • Implement a scenario planning framework to monitor and review risks over time.

Target Audience

This course is designed for financial analysts, risk managers, compliance officers, and other professionals in the financial services sector who need to anticipate and articulate potential risks in their work environment.

Prerequisites

None — open enrollment

Course Outline

Day 1: Foundations of Scenario Planning in Financial Services

Objectives:
• Understand the purpose and benefits of scenario planning for risk management in financial services.
• Identify key drivers of change and uncertainty in the financial sector.
• Differentiate between scenario planning, forecasting, and risk assessment.
• Apply basic scenario development techniques to a financial services context.
• Recognise the regulatory and strategic importance of scenario planning in SAQA-aligned risk management.

Topics:
• Introduction to scenario planning: definition, history, and relevance to financial services.
• The role of uncertainty in financial risk management.
• Key drivers: economic, regulatory, technological, and social factors.
• Comparing scenario planning with traditional forecasting and stress testing.
• Overview of scenario planning frameworks (e.g., Shell, 2x2 matrix).
• Case study: How scenario planning helped financial institutions during the 2008 crisis.
• Ethical considerations and stakeholder engagement.
• Linking scenario planning to organisational risk appetite.

Day 2: Developing and Analysing Scenarios for Financial Risk

Objectives:
• Construct plausible scenarios using a structured methodology.
• Analyse the impact of scenarios on financial products, portfolios, and institutions.
• Integrate quantitative and qualitative data in scenario development.
• Evaluate scenario outcomes to inform risk mitigation strategies.
• Apply scenario planning to credit, market, and operational risk.

Topics:
• Step-by-step scenario development: defining scope, identifying drivers, building narratives.
• Quantitative techniques: sensitivity analysis, Monte Carlo simulation basics.
• Qualitative techniques: expert elicitation, Delphi method.
• Scenario analysis for credit risk: default rates, collateral values.
• Scenario analysis for market risk: interest rate shocks, currency volatility.
• Scenario analysis for operational risk: system failures, fraud.
• Using scenario matrices to compare outcomes.
• Workshop: Develop two scenarios for a given financial institution.

Day 3: Integrating Scenario Planning into Risk Management and Decision-Making

Objectives:
• Embed scenario planning into the overall risk management framework.
• Communicate scenario findings to stakeholders and decision-makers.
• Use scenario outcomes to inform strategic planning and capital allocation.
• Review regulatory requirements (e.g., Basel III, IFRS 9) related to scenario analysis.
• Evaluate the effectiveness of scenario planning exercises and iterate for improvement.

Topics:
• Integrating scenarios with enterprise risk management (ERM).
• Linking scenarios to capital adequacy and stress testing (ICAAP, ILAAP).
• Reporting scenario results: dashboards, heat maps, and executive summaries.
• Regulatory expectations: SARB, Prudential Authority, and SAQA standards.
• Scenario planning for climate risk and ESG factors.
• Case study: Using scenarios for strategic decision-making in a bank.
• Common pitfalls and best practices in scenario planning.
• Final practical: Present scenario findings and recommendations.

Practicals

10 hours of practicals To be conducted online or on-campus or in-house
Overview

Practical sessions are essential for learners to apply scenario planning techniques hands-on. These sessions involve developing scenarios using real financial data, analysing impacts on risk metrics, and presenting findings to peers, simulating workplace application.

Practical Activities
  • Scenario Development Workshop — Learners work in groups to identify key drivers and construct two alternative scenarios for a fictional financial institution using a 2x2 matrix. (4h)
  • Quantitative Scenario Analysis Lab — Using provided spreadsheets, learners apply sensitivity analysis and simple Monte Carlo simulations to assess impact on credit risk metrics under different scenarios. (3h)
  • Scenario Presentation and Feedback Session — Groups present their scenario findings and recommended risk responses to the class, receiving peer and facilitator feedback. (3h)

Summatives

Each delegate is assessed continuously throughout the course via daily exercises, scored practical assignments, and a final summative test at the end.

Practical Assignments — 30%

Practical assignments are observed and scored against a rubric during the practical sessions. Each delegate's practical mark is averaged into a single 100% score and contributes 30% to the final total.

Daily Exercises — 20%

Every training day ends with a multiple-choice exercise scored out of 100%. The scores from each daily exercise are averaged across the duration of the course to produce a Daily Average mark, which contributes 20% to the final total.

Final Test — 50%

On the last day a final summative test is written. It is a multiple-choice paper with multiple-answer questions: each question may have more than one correct option, and a single wrong selection on a question marks the entire question wrong — no partial credit. The final test is scored out of 100% and contributes 50% to the overall mark.

Final Total
Component Out of Weight
Practical Assignments (rubric-scored) 100% 30%
Daily Average (multiple choice) 100% 20%
Final Test (multi-answer multiple choice) 100% 50%
Final Total 100%

All marks are recorded on the AATICD LMS and visible to each learner under their account.

Certificate

Certificate of Completion

Awarded to delegates who achieve an overall mark of 50% or higher on the Final Total (Practicals 30% + Daily Average 20% + Final Test 50%).

How it works
  • Certificates are auto-generated on the AATICD LMS as soon as the marks pass the 50% threshold.
  • Each certificate is a branded PDF with the delegate's name, the course title, the unit standard ID, NQF level, credits, and the date of issue.
  • You can download or print your certificate from your LMS dashboard at any time after issue — there's no reissue fee and no expiry date.
  • If you scored under 50% you can sit the final test again at the next scheduled session at no extra cost.
Where to find it

Sign in to the LMS, open your dashboard, and your certificates appear under My Certificates. Each entry has a View / Download button and a print option.

Training Discounts

Group discounts apply automatically — the more delegates you enrol, the greater the saving. Discounts are calculated at 3% per 5 delegates, scaling up to 40% off for 100+ delegates.

Delegates Discount
5 3% off
10 6% off
15 9% off
20 12% off
25 15% off
30 18% off
50 30% off
75 35% off
100 40% off

3% discount per 5 delegates, up to 40% off for 100+ delegates. Contact us for a custom group quote.

Upcoming Training Sessions
Online training — attend live sessions from anywhere via our virtual classroom.
Start End Delivery Season Price Action
Tue 08 Sep 2026 Thu 10 Sep 2026 Virtual Spring 2026 $967 Register
Mon 28 Sep 2026 Wed 30 Sep 2026 Virtual Spring 2026 $967 Register
Wed 21 Oct 2026 Fri 23 Oct 2026 Virtual Spring 2026 $967 Register
Tue 08 Dec 2026 Thu 10 Dec 2026 Virtual Summer 2026 $967 Register
Mon 11 Jan 2027 Wed 13 Jan 2027 Virtual Summer 2026 $967 Register
Wed 17 Feb 2027 Fri 19 Feb 2027 Virtual Summer 2026 $967 Register
Tue 02 Mar 2027 Thu 04 Mar 2027 Virtual Autumn 2027 $967 Register
Mon 08 Mar 2027 Wed 10 Mar 2027 Virtual Autumn 2027 $967 Register
Wed 17 Mar 2027 Fri 19 Mar 2027 Virtual Autumn 2027 $967 Register
Tue 08 Jun 2027 Thu 10 Jun 2027 Virtual Winter 2027 $967 Register
Mon 28 Jun 2027 Wed 30 Jun 2027 Virtual Winter 2027 $967 Register
Wed 21 Jul 2027 Fri 23 Jul 2027 Virtual Winter 2027 $967 Register
Tue 07 Sep 2027 Thu 09 Sep 2027 Virtual Spring 2027 $967 Register
Mon 27 Sep 2027 Wed 29 Sep 2027 Virtual Spring 2027 $967 Register
Wed 20 Oct 2027 Fri 22 Oct 2027 Virtual Spring 2027 $967 Register
Tue 07 Dec 2027 Thu 09 Dec 2027 Virtual Summer 2027 $967 Register
Mon 27 Dec 2027 Wed 29 Dec 2027 Virtual Summer 2027 $967 Register
Wed 19 Jan 2028 Fri 21 Jan 2028 Virtual Summer 2027 $967 Register
On-Campus training — face-to-face sessions at our training venues across Africa and beyond.
Showing all 492 sessions across 26 venues
Start End Venue Season Price Action
Mon 10 Aug 2026 Wed 12 Aug 2026 Pretoria, South Africa Winter 2026 $1,447 Register
Mon 10 Aug 2026 Wed 12 Aug 2026 Mauritius Winter 2026 $3,148 Register
Tue 11 Aug 2026 Thu 13 Aug 2026 Abu Dhabi, UAE Winter 2026 $4,552 Register
Tue 11 Aug 2026 Thu 13 Aug 2026 Cape Town, South Africa Winter 2026 $2,392 Register
Wed 12 Aug 2026 Fri 14 Aug 2026 Durban, South Africa Winter 2026 $2,230 Register
In-House training — we bring the trainer to your organisation, tailored to your team.
Start End Delivery Season Price Action
Wed 16 Sep 2026 Fri 18 Sep 2026 Your Premises Spring 2026 $1,258 Register
Tue 06 Oct 2026 Thu 08 Oct 2026 Your Premises Spring 2026 $1,258 Register
Mon 26 Oct 2026 Wed 28 Oct 2026 Your Premises Spring 2026 $1,258 Register
Wed 16 Dec 2026 Fri 18 Dec 2026 Your Premises Summer 2026 $1,258 Register
Tue 19 Jan 2027 Thu 21 Jan 2027 Your Premises Summer 2026 $1,258 Register
Mon 22 Feb 2027 Wed 24 Feb 2027 Your Premises Summer 2026 $1,258 Register
Wed 10 Mar 2027 Fri 12 Mar 2027 Your Premises Autumn 2027 $1,258 Register
Tue 16 Mar 2027 Thu 18 Mar 2027 Your Premises Autumn 2027 $1,258 Register
Mon 22 Mar 2027 Wed 24 Mar 2027 Your Premises Autumn 2027 $1,258 Register
Wed 16 Jun 2027 Fri 18 Jun 2027 Your Premises Winter 2027 $1,258 Register
Tue 06 Jul 2027 Thu 08 Jul 2027 Your Premises Winter 2027 $1,258 Register
Mon 26 Jul 2027 Wed 28 Jul 2027 Your Premises Winter 2027 $1,258 Register
Wed 15 Sep 2027 Fri 17 Sep 2027 Your Premises Spring 2027 $1,258 Register
Tue 05 Oct 2027 Thu 07 Oct 2027 Your Premises Spring 2027 $1,258 Register
Mon 25 Oct 2027 Wed 27 Oct 2027 Your Premises Spring 2027 $1,258 Register
Wed 15 Dec 2027 Fri 17 Dec 2027 Your Premises Summer 2027 $1,258 Register
Tue 04 Jan 2028 Thu 06 Jan 2028 Your Premises Summer 2027 $1,258 Register
Mon 24 Jan 2028 Wed 26 Jan 2028 Your Premises Summer 2027 $1,258 Register
Training Discounts
Delegates Discount
5 3% off
10 6% off
15 9% off
20 12% off
25 15% off
30 18% off
50 30% off
75 35% off
100 40% off

3% off per 5 delegates, up to 40% for 100+

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